Research Papers

Generalized Central Limit Theorems for Growth Rate Distribution of Complex Systems

Journal of Statistical Physics

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analyzed theoretically. Various types of scaling properties and distributions reported for growth rates of complex systems in a variety of fields can be derived from this basic physical model. Statistical data of growth rates for about 1 million business firms are analyzed as a real-world example of randomly growing systems. Not only are the scaling relations consistent with the theoretical solution, but the entire functional form of the growth rate distribution is fitted with a theoretical distribution that has a power-law tail.

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Misako Takayasu, Hayafumi Watanabe, and Hideki Takayasu

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