June 2025
Economic Trends Research, June 2025
The domestic economy saw its first improvement this year, albeit slightly
— The outcome of Japan-U.S. negotiations regarding Trump's tariffs may have an impact on the economy —
Trend in June 2025: Slight Improvement
The Economic Diffusion Index (DI) in June 2025 increased by 0.1 points from the previous month to 42.7, improving slightly for the first time in six months.
Despite sluggish consumer spending due to price hikes, early seasonal demand for air conditioners, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics contributed to the first upward trend this year.
Future outlook: Remain weak
The domestic economy is expected to continue trending weakly for the time being amid rising uncertainty.
Primary points of survey results(summary)
- 1 By industry: Improvement in 5 out of 10 industries, with early seasonal demand contributing positively.
- 2 By scale: "Large firms" improved for the second consecutive month, while "small to medium-sized firms" showed no upward trend for seven months.
- 3 By region: 6 out of 10 regions showed deterioration, though the rise in equipment operating rates served as a positive factor.

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